Want
a free business class? Find out more about Uber (or try talking to
more Uber drivers). Every Uber driver has at least some kind of
opinion to share about the Uber business model (its upsides and
downsides for drivers and passengers alike), and some drivers (if you
are inquisitive) will provide you with additional business logistics.
Occasionally you will receive an outlook on the (potentially
sobering) present and future societal impacts of Uber. If you are
really lucky, you will have spent the whole ride entertained by a
detailed rundown of the business' history and how it has been
continuously adapting to novel locations, changing consumer demands,
and emerging competition. I found myself the lucky passenger of
precisely the latter kind of Uber driver on my last trip from SFO to
Palo Alto: a young latin American named Marcos, with a square jaw and
an equally square baseball cap bill. I will endeavor to provide a
recount of this conversation (really, a monologue punctuated by my
occasional requests for additional details). I aim also for my
recounting to have the properties of a conversation, in that
regardless of the factual accuracy of individual details or the exact
temporal sequence of events (potentially tainted by the knowledge of
my driver and my interpretation), the general outlines of the
high-level picture should nevertheless surface.
source: http://johnbracamontes.com/ |
From
my driver Marcos I learned that Uber sprouted up in SF to fill an
existing gap in the market: the need for a professional and,
importantly, reliable chauffeuring service. An emerging
sentiment at the time was one of dissatisfaction with cab services,
passengers having to unwillingly deal with unreliable service and
rude or disrespectful drivers. The drivers seemed to have the
upper hand in this market and behaved accordingly.
Although I am
not sure how widespread this sentiment was, I can attest to the fact
that this is the reason I've never liked taking cabs.
Naturally,
this was the sort of inconvenience and unpleasantness that the more
financially-privileged were willing to pay to avoid. Uber saw this
opportunity, and was perfectly positioned to take advantage of it: in
a city with (1) a dense population packed in a relatively small
(drivable) area, (2) large and growing tech companies providing a
continuous supply of financially-privileged individuals, and (3) a
traditionally startup-friendly environment, where bold new ideas
regularly surface and are picked up by the wave of tech hype. And so,
Uber was born (in 2010). As a professional and reliable chauffeuring
service with a convenient mobile app interface (and up-to-date
updates on driver location), passengers would be picked up in shiny
black cars by courteous drivers in formal attire, offering additional
frills like water and mints for the on-the-run business man. Sure,
this was an expensive alternative to cabs, but to the users of
UberBLACK, it was well worth it. Behind the scenes the structure was
quite clever as well: Uber provided the cars and phones for the
drivers (equipped with Uber app and Google maps), and regular people
stepped up to provide themselves as drivers, no formal interviewing
procedure required. Marcos dropped out of his community college to
take on this new, respectable job that required a full-time
commitment. As the success of a personalized on-demand transportation
service had shown its colors, it opened up the market for new
variants. And this is where Lyft comes into the picture.
source: techcrunch.com |
Lyft
aimed to capture another SF-based market segment: the young crowd of
current students and recent graduates, now employed at local
startups. An alternative transportation solution was needed for the
kind of person that ate Mexican from a food truck and sported
giveaway t-shirts acquired at hackathons and career fairs. Lyft
was marketed as an affordable ride-share, the distinctive pink
mustache on car bumpers trumpeting the friendly, hip, and easy-going
atmosphere that customers would learn to expect from it. In stark
contrast to UberBLACK, passengers would sit in the front, engage in
conversations with their casually-dressed drivers, and ride in
whatever car the driver happened to own. Whereas Uber lent its
drivers cars and phones, Lyft sent them giant pink furry mustaches.
The latter was more financially viable, allowing prices to drop to
student standards, well below cab fees. Importantly, Lyft drivers
could work on flexible schedules, squeezing in rides in the free
moments of the day, morning, evening, and between activities. Marcos
could now go back to college and pick up passengers in his free
time.
Uber
wisely recognized that much of its infrastructure was already in
place to allow its service to be differentiated for different kinds
of customers. Uber then branched to provide a new option: UberX.
Learning from the successes and failures of the Lyft model, UberX
allowed drivers to work flexible hours in flexible attire, operating
their own vehicles – provided, and this is important, that the
vehicles passed some minimal quality standards (Lyft passengers had
begun to complain about the run-down condition of some of the cars).
The water and mints were still there. Drivers were encouraged to be
friendly and hip.
Uber
had a first-player advantage: it had been first in the market and
thus enough time to acquire a good reputation and loyal customers
through its UberBLACK service. UberX brought in new customers and
gave the old ones a flexible option. Provided with the same
reliability and courteousness, some of UberBLACK customers now opted
for the cheaper, more informal option. It is part of SF culture not
to flaunt financial well-being, as evidenced by the casual hoodies
and slacks regularly worn by some top tech executives. So black cars
became regular cars (that were nevertheless guaranteed not to be
run-downs).
As
an aside, Uber now has a variant that is intermediate between
UberBLACK and UberX. Do you want to get picked up by a
casually-dressed Uber driver but in a brand-name car like a BMW or
Mercedez for an intermediate price? Well now you can with Uber
Select. And if you don't want a fancy car to pull up at your office
entrance in SF, you can stick to UberX. Different Uber options happen
to be dominant in different cities. For instance, perhaps
unsurprisingly, LA tends to prefer the luxurious option.
After
the introduction of UberX, Uber's customer pool grew. This meant that
the density of ride requests was often higher on Uber than on Lyft.
Drivers had more customers overall and could cover smaller
distances between ride requests. Marcos and his friends signed
back on with Uber.
source: techcrunch.com |
New
measures had to be taken. Lyft gave its drivers new incentives:
“complete X rides and receive a rebate on the hefty commissions
paid back to Lyft”. Uber followed suit.
The new incentives served an additional purpose: having to complete a
minimum number of rides, many drivers could no longer afford enough
time to work for both companies and still complete enough rides with
each. Choices had to be made. Uber tried to give drivers incentives
for accepting all ride requests in a row. Drivers obliged and
accepted all that came their way. They accepted requests even if it
required going around the whole block just to pick up a passenger
directly on the opposite side of the street. Passenger wait times
increased. Passengers were not happy. Uber pivoted its incentives
structure.
A
vicious price war ensued. The water and mints disappeared from Uber
cars. With few noticeable differences between the two services
from the customer perspective, customers went where prices were
lower. Lower prices meant more ride requests and a quicker way to hit
the incentive ride minimum. Drivers went where there were more
customers.
As
Marcos prepared to drop me off in Palo Alto, he got his Lyft app
ready. He said he'd take the first request he got - Uber or Lyft.
Palo Alto has longer ride distances and fewer customers per square
area than SF. Time is costly, and Marcos would not spend it
passenger-less. After all, he needed to be in class soon. He let me
out. My half-hour, 21-mile ride cost $37.78, including a
$3.85 airport surcharge. Uber would take 20-30%,
gas would cost Marcos another few dollars, and car depreciation isn't
to be forgotten either. Marcos told me that the prices are more
expensive in SF than surrounding areas. (In fact, my trip back to SFO
from Palo Alto 2 days later cost $28.47). On my Uber app, I gave
Marcos 5 stars and left some feedback about what a knowledgable
guide he turned out to be. Then again, I don't remember the last time
I gave a poor review.
source: http://images.cdn.stuff.tv |
Lowering
prices means even more burden on the drivers. Already the fraction of
a cab fee, Uber fees are reaching new lows. Two days later, I logged
onto my Uber app at 5 a.m. to request a car back to the airport. I
could see some cars circling around the Googleplex complex, 15
minutes from where I was. After about 2 minutes, an Uber driver
accepted my request. Another minute later, he canceled the request.
He'd probably gotten a more conveniently-located ride request and
would make more money by keeping the distance driven without
passengers minimal (and 15 minutes was already pushing it). His car
stayed around the Googleplex complex. I placed another request,
finding myself irritated that it was taking me longer than 5 minutes
to get a car. My last dozen or so Uber trips involved instantaneous
request acceptance, with a car picking me up 1-2 minutes later. How
spoiled I had become. Finally, after another 3 minutes, my request
was accepted by a middle-aged Latin American gentleman named Juan
Carlos, and in 15 minutes, he was at my hotel.
I
was really thankful to Juan for picking me up. He was surprised to
find out there wasn't a swarm of cars ready to take me. Uber cars
often outnumber passengers at this early time in the morning, he told
me. I was in turn surprised to hear this, having spent that night
tossing and turning in bed worried that no Uber drivers would be on
the roads so early (I didn't even consider cabs as an alternative
anymore). Our differing expectations for what would be the Uber
availability situation that morning led me to thinking that there are
too many variables at play to fully predict driver behavior. Uber
drivers have to somehow optimize ride fares, company incentive
structures, passenger availability, and competition with other Uber
cars to figure out if a particular ride is going to bring them more
than it will cost. Earlier that morning Juan had driven another
passenger to San Jose airport - a 20 minute ride that cost the
passenger $10, of which Juan would probably get less than
$6-7.
I
told Juan about one of my recent Uber experiences in Boston. I had
decided to try UberPOOL for the first time: a variant where multiple
passengers can share the same ride, with different initial and
destination locations, as long as the trips are relatively in the
same direction. Each passenger pays less in return for the
potentially longer ride. If multiple passengers are picked up, the
Uber driver can hope to make a sliver more in the same fraction of
time by combining the trips. The interesting catch is: you get a
guaranteed UberPOOL price regardless of whether another passenger is
taken. In other words, you pay a lower price (even lower than UberX)
just by agreeing to potentially share the ride. Talking to my other
friends in Boston, it is pretty common for no additional passenger to
show up. So my friend and I took an UberPOOL. We counted as a single
passenger (it would be the same price if only one of us was there),
but didn't end up picking up a third passenger on the way. Our ride
was 10 minutes from Downtown Boston across the bridge to East
Cambridge, and cost us a total of $6. Splitting it, each of us paid
$3, almost the price of a subway ticket, but with the walking
distance (from subway to house) cut from 15 minutes down to zero.
Who
takes the loss when no additional passenger request is made on
UberPOOL: the company or the driver? I asked Juan. Turns out, it's
the driver (in Lyft's case, the company pays the difference). So if
drivers are making so little money, how can Uber remain a viable
longterm business model? Without missing a beat, Juan replied that it
doesn't need to be viable for longer than a decade at the most.
"After all, Uber is building a fleet of self-driving cars. No
paid drivers will be needed." Juan paused. But there's a bigger
problem: Juan is concerned about the strawberry-picking robots that
are now working on farms day and night, 24 hours straight. Soon,
there'll be even more robotic farm hands. Juan's family back in South
America along with thousands of other people are going to be out of
the farm jobs that provided their livelihood. "What happens
then?"
Juan
Carlos got some fraction of the $28.47 I paid via my Uber app, and 5
stars.
source: http://www.econlife.com |
Further reading:
Dated
sequence of events in Uber's history:
http://techcrunch.com/gallery/a-brief-history-of-uber/slide/26/
More
about the Uber-Lyft battle:
http://www.npr.org/sections/alltechconsidered/2016/01/18/463473462/is-uber-good-to-drivers-it-s-relative
How
much Uber drivers make:
http://www.buzzfeed.com/johanabhuiyan/what-uber-drivers-really-make-according-to-their-pay-stubs#.ropJdNaxxo
(compared to Lyft:
http://www.fastcompany.com/3048563/fast-feed/this-is-how-much-uber-and-lyft-drivers-make-in-different-cities)
Different
types of Uber services explained:
http://www.ridesharingdriver.com/whats-the-difference-between-uberx-xl-uberplus-and-black-car/
Uber's
pricing and incentives model:
https://newsroom.uber.com/guest-post-a-deeper-look-at-ubers-dynamic-pricing-model/
Quora discussion about Uber VS Lyft:
https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-difference-between-Uber-and-Lyft-1